此疑問，我2006年底就深入探討過。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2007年初，我推理的結(jié)論是：從廠家發(fā)貨角度看，中國農(nóng)藥市場容量大約460億元（2013年大約500億元  
左右）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                今天，我看到新聞?wù)f，美國市場調(diào)查公司GFK近日估測，中國植保市場（終端農(nóng)民）容量約892億元。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                看來我是對的。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        
佩服我吧！                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                從生產(chǎn)廠家發(fā)貨角度看，2007年中國農(nóng)藥市場容量大約460億元（2013年大約500億元左右）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 從終端零售商和農(nóng)民角度看，2012年中國農(nóng)藥市場大約在892億元左右。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 其中的差價392億元（大約400億元左右）是中國所有經(jīng)銷商（含零售商）的利潤空間之總和。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                2013年：中國農(nóng)藥登記證件總數(shù)29092個（不到3萬個）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                平均每個證件年銷售額大約170萬元（從廠家角度統(tǒng)計）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                平均每個廠家登記證件為11.2個。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                平均每個廠家年銷售總額大約1950萬元左右（從發(fā)貨角度統(tǒng)計，平均每個廠家銷售額”還不到2000萬元）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                中國農(nóng)藥市場總量大約460億—500億元之間（廠家角度）。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                個人提示：                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 這個數(shù)據(jù)“未必準確”，僅作參考。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 敬請農(nóng)資界的農(nóng)資人來斧正。                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 我“拋磚”，敬請農(nóng)資人“獻玉”。

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